YEARLY HIGH
237.1625 BIF
YEARLY LOW
181.0164 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
191.9730 BIF

2014 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 237.1625. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 5, dropping to 181.0164.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 56.1461 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 222.9365 to the December average rate of 183.1631, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 237.1625 was down 25.12% compared to the 2013 peak of 316.7281, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,185,812 BIF
2013 Average 1,422,830 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 905,082 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 280,730.63 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

226.9138
179.1858
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 198.7575, compared to 185.1886 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.5689 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 198.7575
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 185.1886

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 43.9174 BIF (High: 237.1625 / Low: 193.2451). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3261 BIF (High: 184.2126 / Low: 182.8864).

January Spread (Volatile) ±43.9174
November Spread (Stable) ±1.3261

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 25.5792 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -25.5792

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 222.9365) against the same month in 2013 (average: 306.6082), the exchange rate shifted by -83.6718 (-27.29%).

2014 Avg (January) 222.9365
2013 Avg (January) 306.6082

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 237.1625 193.2451 222.9365
February 199.2046 193.4360 197.3573
March 197.8834 193.6211 195.8911
April 194.2665 192.8277 193.5434
May 194.2825 191.2298 192.5146
June 192.2201 189.4778 190.3022
July 191.2146 187.7295 189.9723
August 188.1190 183.2256 186.4484
September 184.8547 182.7974 184.0559
October 185.7310 181.0164 183.9487
November 184.2126 182.8864 183.5429
December 185.3255 181.7501 183.1631