YEARLY HIGH
183.8242 BIF
YEARLY LOW
117.3949 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
170.3182 BIF

2015 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 183.8242. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 117.3949.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 66.4294 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 182.2993 to the December average rate of 140.1338, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 183.8242 was down 22.49% compared to the 2014 peak of 237.1625, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 919,121 BIF
2014 Average 959,869 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 586,974 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 332,146.80 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

186.5159
135.9173
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 177.7661, compared to 162.8704 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.8958 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 177.7661
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 162.8704

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 44.2535 BIF (High: 161.6484 / Low: 117.3949). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6737 BIF (High: 165.7295 / Low: 163.0558).

December Spread (Volatile) ±44.2535
October Spread (Stable) ±2.6737

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 22.0110 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.0110

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 182.2993) against the same month in 2014 (average: 222.9365), the exchange rate shifted by -40.6371 (-18.23%).

2015 Avg (January) 182.2993
2014 Avg (January) 222.9365

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 183.8242 180.4754 182.2993
February 182.2586 179.1280 180.7071
March 179.8605 176.7429 178.7574
April 179.3327 174.9395 176.7950
May 176.4716 173.2041 175.1328
June 174.5297 170.7186 172.9051
July 179.0912 169.1663 176.1158
August 169.7853 166.6062 168.1864
September 167.8139 164.4035 166.1323
October 165.7295 163.0558 164.5089
November 164.7376 160.1403 162.1448
December 161.6484 117.3949 140.1338