YEARLY HIGH
95.9866 BIF
YEARLY LOW
43.0641 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
67.9000 BIF

2018 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 95.9866. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 43.0641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 52.9224 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 92.8091 to the December average rate of 47.8201, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 95.9866 was down 14.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 112.4223, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 479,933 BIF
2017 Average 521,400 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 215,321 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 264,612.09 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

97.4806
41.4219
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 83.1500, compared to 52.6500 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 30.5000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 83.1500
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 52.6500

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 19.8153 BIF (High: 65.5220 / Low: 45.7068). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9187 BIF (High: 88.4165 / Low: 86.4977).

August Spread (Volatile) ±19.8153
March Spread (Stable) ±1.9187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 13.7744 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -13.7744

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 92.8091) against the same month in 2017 (average: 105.7426), the exchange rate shifted by -12.9336 (-12.23%).

2018 Avg (January) 92.8091
2017 Avg (January) 105.7426

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 95.9866 89.7207 92.8091
February 91.0142 87.2582 89.0171
March 88.4165 86.4977 87.3769
April 88.3964 85.9737 87.5327
May 85.6429 70.6660 75.4560
June 71.5488 61.7904 66.7081
July 65.6036 61.0815 64.1515
August 65.5220 45.7068 59.8679
September 48.0726 43.0641 46.0935
October 50.0168 45.0553 48.4172
November 51.3074 46.4664 49.5497
December 49.1935 46.9515 47.8201