YEARLY HIGH
6.2058 RUB
YEARLY LOW
5.0174 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8404 RUB

2013 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 6.2058. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 5.0174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1884 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1117 to the December average rate of 5.1897, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 6.2058 was down 18.04% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.5721, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,029 RUB
2012 Average 34,204 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 25,087 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,942.01 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

6.2039
5.0975
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0560, compared to 5.6247 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0560
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6247

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.3839 RUB (High: 5.4013 / Low: 5.0174). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0717 RUB (High: 6.0691 / Low: 5.9974).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3839
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0717

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2534 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2534

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 6.1117) against the same month in 2012 (average: 7.2618), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1501 (-15.84%).

2013 Avg (January) 6.1117
2012 Avg (January) 7.2618

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.2058 6.0352 6.1117
February 6.0691 5.9974 6.0285
March 6.0888 5.9895 6.0568
April 6.1671 6.0042 6.0883
May 6.0260 5.9472 5.9849
June 6.1392 5.9489 6.0660
July 6.1717 5.9188 6.0274
August 6.0033 5.8690 5.9163
September 5.8841 5.5220 5.6843
October 5.5666 5.4043 5.4876
November 5.5075 5.3887 5.4431
December 5.4013 5.0174 5.1897