YEARLY HIGH
1.2802 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.8795 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0303 RUB

2020 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 1.2802. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.8795.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4006 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0326 to the December average rate of 0.8961, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.2802 was down 30.45% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.8408, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,401 RUB
2019 Average 6,924 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 4,398 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,003.20 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.2100
0.8676
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0801, compared to 0.9804 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0997 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0801
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9804

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2183 RUB (High: 1.2802 / Low: 1.0619). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0297 RUB (High: 1.0115 / Low: 0.9818).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2183
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0297

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0808 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0808

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 1.1814) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.5819), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4004 (-25.31%).

2020 Avg (March) 1.1814
2019 Avg (March) 1.5819

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0615 1.0214 1.0326
February 1.0742 1.0312 1.0476
March 1.2802 1.0619 1.1814
April 1.2214 1.0961 1.1436
May 1.1435 1.0251 1.0780
June 1.0115 0.9818 0.9973
July 1.0278 0.9861 1.0024
August 1.0280 0.9956 1.0088
September 1.0413 0.9912 1.0121
October 1.0175 0.9741 1.0007
November 1.0241 0.9343 0.9625
December 0.9332 0.8795 0.8961