YEARLY HIGH
1.3156 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.3606 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5604 RUB

2022 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 1.3156. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 0.3606.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9550 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7369 to the December average rate of 0.3852, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.3156 was up 49.42% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.8805, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,578 RUB
2021 Average 3,887 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,803 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,775.17 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.0754
0.3136
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7035, compared to 0.4173 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2862 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7035
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4173

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was March, with a trading range of 0.5793 RUB (High: 1.3156 / Low: 0.7364). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0306 RUB (High: 0.3950 / Low: 0.3643).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5793
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3042 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2022: 1.0119) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.8188), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1931 (+23.58%).

2022 Avg (March) 1.0119
2021 Avg (March) 0.8188

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7568 0.7195 0.7369
February 0.9777 0.7047 0.7401
March 1.3156 0.7364 1.0119
April 0.7711 0.6188 0.7077
May 0.6359 0.4798 0.5543
June 0.5278 0.4198 0.4700
July 0.5145 0.4251 0.4641
August 0.4776 0.4334 0.4494
September 0.4580 0.3917 0.4209
October 0.4287 0.3914 0.4070
November 0.3950 0.3643 0.3771
December 0.4184 0.3606 0.3852