YEARLY HIGH
0.7043 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5140 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6658 TJS

2015 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 5, valuing the pair at 0.7043. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.5140.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1903 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6143 to the December average rate of 0.6161, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.7043 was down 3.87% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.7326, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,521 TJS
2014 Average 3,046 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,570 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 951.28 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.7097
0.6056
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6579, compared to 0.6737 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0158 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6579
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6737

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.1859 TJS (High: 0.6999 / Low: 0.5140). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 TJS (High: 0.6252 / Low: 0.6217).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1859
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0765 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0765

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2015: 0.7010) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.6104), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0906 (+14.84%).

2015 Avg (May) 0.7010
2014 Avg (May) 0.6104

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6224 0.6075 0.6143
February 0.6252 0.6217 0.6229
March 0.6547 0.6228 0.6352
April 0.7001 0.6573 0.6826
May 0.7043 0.6963 0.7010
June 0.6960 0.6840 0.6915
July 0.6884 0.6810 0.6847
August 0.6808 0.6769 0.6790
September 0.6840 0.6766 0.6801
October 0.6947 0.6828 0.6900
November 0.7003 0.6886 0.6926
December 0.6999 0.5140 0.6161