YEARLY HIGH
0.1625 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.1305 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1471 TJS

2020 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.1625. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 0.1305.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0320 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1618 to the December average rate of 0.1372, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.1625 was down 36.43% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.2556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 812 TJS
2019 Average 1,016 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 653 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 159.96 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.1646
0.1303
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1553, compared to 0.1388 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0165 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1553
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1388

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 0.0130 TJS (High: 0.1435 / Low: 0.1305). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 TJS (High: 0.1625 / Low: 0.1608).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0130
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 0.1618) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.2524), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0907 (-35.91%).

2020 Avg (January) 0.1618
2019 Avg (January) 0.2524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1625 0.1608 0.1618
February 0.1608 0.1558 0.1582
March 0.1607 0.1520 0.1557
April 0.1588 0.1534 0.1561
May 0.1555 0.1497 0.1518
June 0.1497 0.1464 0.1481
July 0.1462 0.1426 0.1445
August 0.1426 0.1391 0.1409
September 0.1391 0.1355 0.1374
October 0.1354 0.1319 0.1332
November 0.1435 0.1305 0.1397
December 0.1391 0.1346 0.1372