2018 ARS to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4799 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.2284 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3474 TJS

2018 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.4799. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.2284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2515 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4643 to the December average rate of 0.2493, the exchange rate registered a net change of -46.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4799 was down 18.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5881, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,399 TJS

2017 Average 2,600 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 1,142 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,257.56 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4862

0.2227

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4178, compared to 0.2770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4178

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1020 TJS (High: 0.3452 / Low: 0.2432). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 TJS (High: 0.4382 / Low: 0.4333).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1020

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0728 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0728

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4643) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4973), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0331 (-6.65%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4643

2017 Avg (January) 0.4973

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4799	0.4484	0.4643
February	0.4556	0.4366	0.4450
March	0.4382	0.4333	0.4363
April	0.4406	0.4327	0.4374
May	0.4304	0.3581	0.3822
June	0.3628	0.3174	0.3416
July	0.3455	0.3167	0.3368
August	0.3452	0.2432	0.3174
September	0.2559	0.2284	0.2446
October	0.2631	0.2387	0.2546
November	0.2665	0.2410	0.2593
December	0.2580	0.2457	0.2493

2018 ARS నుండి TJS చారిత్రక సమీక్ష