2014 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

387.2581 UGX

YEARLY LOW

308.4266 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

320.7999 UGX

2014 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 387.2581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 308.4266.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 78.8315 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 360.1457 to the December average rate of 323.7172, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 387.2581 was down 29.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 551.4437, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,936,290 UGX

2013 Average 2,377,536 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,542,133 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 394,157.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

365.0464

306.2387

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 323.5601, compared to 318.0398 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.5203 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 323.5601

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 318.0398

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 78.4433 UGX (High: 387.2581 / Low: 308.8148). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4154 UGX (High: 315.9797 / Low: 313.5643).

January Spread (Volatile) ±78.4433

May Spread (Stable) ±2.4154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 46.0361 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -46.0361

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 360.1457) against the same month in 2013 (average: 542.3619), the exchange rate shifted by -182.2162 (-33.60%).

2014 Avg (January) 360.1457

2013 Avg (January) 542.3619

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	387.2581	308.8148	360.1457
February	320.6518	308.6231	314.1097
March	322.1478	318.0034	319.6161
April	320.3524	313.6165	315.7122
May	315.9797	313.5643	314.7654
June	320.7805	314.5046	317.0112
July	327.1669	319.1089	322.7031
August	317.9085	308.4266	314.0285
September	314.0620	309.5282	311.1394
October	319.2040	312.5800	315.6191
November	325.6734	315.2104	321.0315
December	327.0232	321.9601	323.7172

2014 ARS నుండి UGX చారిత్రక సమీక్ష