2019 ARS నుండి UGX చారిత్రక సమీక్ష
2019 సంవత్సరం పొడవునా మారకపు రేటు పనితీరు యొక్క సమగ్ర విశ్లేషణ.
2019 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019
During 2019, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 100.5227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 61.1082.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.4145 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 99.1459 to the December average rate of 61.4457, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 100.5227 was down 49.19% compared to the 2018 peak of 197.8557, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.
ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 90.1870, compared to 68.4158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 21.7712 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 22.2153 UGX (High: 83.5474 / Low: 61.3321). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7242 UGX (High: 62.3425 / Low: 61.6183).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 15.4892 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 99.1459) against the same month in 2018 (average: 191.6055), the exchange rate shifted by -92.4596 (-48.26%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 100.5227 | 97.4269 | 99.1459 |
| February | 99.1106 | 92.6150 | 95.8418 |
| March | 93.0206 | 84.4898 | 89.8323 |
| April | 89.9916 | 81.8030 | 86.8459 |
| May | 84.8164 | 83.2662 | 84.0067 |
| June | 87.6075 | 83.7939 | 85.4494 |
| July | 88.9743 | 84.4460 | 87.1807 |
| August | 83.5474 | 61.3321 | 71.6915 |
| September | 66.5506 | 62.0114 | 64.9559 |
| October | 64.0163 | 62.1969 | 63.2718 |
| November | 62.3425 | 61.6183 | 61.9492 |
| December | 61.9155 | 61.1082 | 61.4457 |