YEARLY HIGH
62.1370 UGX
YEARLY LOW
43.3215 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
53.2368 UGX

2020 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 62.1370. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 43.3215.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.8155 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 61.3879 to the December average rate of 44.3967, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 62.1370 was down 38.19% compared to the 2019 peak of 100.5227, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 310,685 UGX
2019 Average 396,074 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 216,607 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 94,077.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

63.0870
42.6976
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 58.1132, compared to 48.3603 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.7530 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 58.1132
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.3603

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 2.9505 UGX (High: 61.5600 / Low: 58.6095). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9845 UGX (High: 49.6899 / Low: 48.7054).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.9505
September Spread (Stable) ±0.9845

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.3557 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3557

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 61.3879) against the same month in 2019 (average: 99.1459), the exchange rate shifted by -37.7580 (-38.08%).

2020 Avg (January) 61.3879
2019 Avg (January) 99.1459

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 62.1370 61.0037 61.3879
February 61.0037 59.3317 60.0151
March 61.5600 58.6095 59.6829
April 58.9324 56.8651 57.7015
May 57.6470 55.2086 56.1239
June 55.1141 52.9627 53.7682
July 52.8669 50.9784 51.9163
August 50.9856 49.5438 50.2210
September 49.6899 48.7054 49.1994
October 48.6977 47.6189 47.9614
November 47.7090 45.5515 46.4668
December 45.4451 43.3215 44.3967