2012 ARS to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9992 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.8735 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9459 VEF

2012 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.9992. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.8735.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1258 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9944 to the December average rate of 0.8800, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.9992 was down 7.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.0829, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,996 VEF

2011 Average 5,207 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 4,367 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 628.83 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.0058

0.8686

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9784, compared to 0.9133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9784

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0202 VEF (High: 0.9714 / Low: 0.9512). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 VEF (High: 0.9920 / Low: 0.9843).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0202

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0156 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0156

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.9944) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.0797), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0854 (-7.91%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.9944

2011 Avg (January) 1.0797

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9992	0.9899	0.9944
February	0.9920	0.9843	0.9880
March	0.9905	0.9819	0.9862
April	0.9832	0.9729	0.9773
May	0.9732	0.9604	0.9660
June	0.9714	0.9512	0.9587
July	0.9518	0.9375	0.9441
August	0.9385	0.9265	0.9320
September	0.9266	0.9138	0.9196
October	0.9138	0.9007	0.9086
November	0.9010	0.8882	0.8956
December	0.8883	0.8735	0.8800

2012 ARS నుండి VEF చారిత్రక సమీక్ష