YEARLY HIGH
0.7412 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.4748 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6869 VEF

2015 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.7412. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.4748.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2664 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7347 to the December average rate of 0.5696, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.7412 was down 23.21% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.9652, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,706 VEF
2014 Average 3,893 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 2,374 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,332.17 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.7513
0.5531
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7164, compared to 0.6574 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0591 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7164
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6574

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.1776 VEF (High: 0.6524 / Low: 0.4748). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 VEF (High: 0.7312 / Low: 0.7241).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1776
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0884 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.7347) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.9057), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1710 (-18.88%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.7347
2014 Avg (January) 0.9057

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7412 0.7299 0.7347
February 0.7312 0.7241 0.7275
March 0.7236 0.7155 0.7193
April 0.7231 0.7084 0.7135
May 0.7093 0.7015 0.7056
June 0.7017 0.6904 0.6979
July 0.6948 0.6876 0.6912
August 0.6873 0.6798 0.6836
September 0.6793 0.6706 0.6747
October 0.6725 0.6635 0.6670
November 0.6677 0.6526 0.6580
December 0.6524 0.4748 0.5696