YEARLY HIGH
4168.1829 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2953.1378 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3558.1977 VEF

2020 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 4168.1829. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 2953.1378.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1215.0451 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4146.8533 to the December average rate of 3009.8047, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 4168.1829 was down 38.10% compared to the 2019 peak of 6733.3525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,840,914 VEF
2019 Average 26,557,802 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 14,765,689 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,075,225.31 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4260.5581
2896.0998
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3864.5753, compared to 3251.8202 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 612.7551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3864.5753
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3251.8202

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 155.8967 VEF (High: 4015.4133 / Low: 3859.5166). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 45.1616 VEF (High: 4168.1829 / Low: 4123.0212).

March Spread (Volatile) ±155.8967
January Spread (Stable) ±45.1616

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 146.6231 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -146.6231

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 4146.8533) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6650.9294), the exchange rate shifted by -2504.0762 (-37.65%).

2020 Avg (January) 4146.8533
2019 Avg (January) 6650.9294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4168.1829 4123.0212 4146.8533
February 4123.0212 3999.9538 4055.8959
March 4015.4133 3859.5166 3938.1909
April 3856.3181 3718.2725 3791.5678
May 3769.4011 3631.0294 3679.5741
June 3623.4164 3529.8445 3575.3696
July 3524.1325 3433.2689 3483.1806
August 3433.7481 3352.6836 3393.9179
September 3346.6357 3262.1571 3307.0710
October 3261.5504 3172.3177 3205.2902
November 3170.2624 3056.1045 3111.6566
December 3051.3226 2953.1378 3009.8047