2011 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1539 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.5755 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9050 KES

2011 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 2.1539. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 1.5755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5784 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7832 to the December average rate of 1.6482, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.1539 was up 17.79% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.8286, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,769 KES

2010 Average 8,670 KES

Yearly Trough Low 7,877 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,891.95 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.0915

1.6079

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8707, compared to 1.9392 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8707

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9392

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.2838 KES (High: 1.9966 / Low: 1.7128). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0385 KES (High: 1.9069 / Low: 1.8684).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2838

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0385

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2129 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 2.0512) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.8173), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2339 (+12.87%).

2011 Avg (October) 2.0512

2010 Avg (October) 1.8173

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8097	1.7655	1.7832
February	1.8194	1.7734	1.7940
March	1.9086	1.8399	1.8747
April	1.9069	1.8684	1.8883
May	1.9244	1.8650	1.8999
June	2.0395	1.9162	1.9840
July	2.0678	1.9917	2.0253
August	2.1030	2.0112	2.0469
September	2.1029	1.9887	2.0254
October	2.1539	1.9917	2.0512
November	1.9966	1.7128	1.8383
December	1.7583	1.5755	1.6482

2011 BTN నుండి KES చారిత్రక సమీక్ష