YEARLY HIGH
1.7253 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.4674 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6060 KES

2012 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 1.7253. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 1.4674.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2578 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6823 to the December average rate of 1.5728, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.7253 was down 19.90% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.1539, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,626 KES
2011 Average 9,528 KES
Yearly Trough Low 7,337 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,289.16 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.7034
1.4974
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6146, compared to 1.5975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0171 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6146
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.1418 KES (High: 1.6463 / Low: 1.5045). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0125 KES (High: 1.6405 / Low: 1.6280).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1418
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0125

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0584 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0584

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.6823) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.7832), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1009 (-5.66%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.6823
2011 Avg (January) 1.7832

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7253 1.5971 1.6823
February 1.7180 1.6505 1.6863
March 1.6800 1.6210 1.6462
April 1.6426 1.5774 1.6083
May 1.5774 1.5179 1.5499
June 1.5504 1.4674 1.5146
July 1.6463 1.5045 1.5767
August 1.6405 1.6280 1.6346
September 1.7053 1.5643 1.6313
October 1.7121 1.5776 1.6075
November 1.5919 1.5411 1.5618
December 1.5863 1.5593 1.5728