2016 BTN నుండి KES చారిత్రక సమీక్ష
2016 సంవత్సరం పొడవునా మారకపు రేటు పనితీరు యొక్క సమగ్ర విశ్లేషణ.
2016 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.5492. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 1.4818.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0674 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5218 to the December average rate of 1.5055, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5492 was down 4.45% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6214, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.
BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5106, compared to 1.5115 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0009 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0493 KES (High: 1.5492 / Low: 1.4999). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 KES (High: 1.5225 / Low: 1.5156).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0277 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.5218) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4686), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0532 (+3.62%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.5492 | 1.4999 | 1.5218 |
| February | 1.5099 | 1.4818 | 1.4941 |
| March | 1.5309 | 1.4936 | 1.5156 |
| April | 1.5339 | 1.5187 | 1.5232 |
| May | 1.5226 | 1.4908 | 1.5057 |
| June | 1.5158 | 1.4891 | 1.5033 |
| July | 1.5134 | 1.4986 | 1.5075 |
| August | 1.5198 | 1.5096 | 1.5151 |
| September | 1.5259 | 1.5111 | 1.5163 |
| October | 1.5225 | 1.5156 | 1.5187 |
| November | 1.5282 | 1.4825 | 1.5060 |
| December | 1.5136 | 1.4878 | 1.5055 |