YEARLY HIGH
1345.4019 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1223.8558 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1265.2297 UGX

2016 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 1345.4019. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 1223.8558.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 121.5461 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1275.5481 to the December average rate of 1332.9128, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1345.4019 was down 1.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 1367.2933, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,727,010 UGX
2015 Average 5,994,810 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,119,279 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 607,730.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1342.5495
1226.9100
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1251.3057, compared to 1279.1538 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.8482 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1251.3057
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1279.1538

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 60.0471 UGX (High: 1343.3876 / Low: 1283.3405). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.2961 UGX (High: 1254.6986 / Low: 1248.4025).

November Spread (Volatile) ±60.0471
September Spread (Stable) ±6.2961

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 24.6358 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -24.6358

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1332.9128) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1244.2209), the exchange rate shifted by +88.6920 (+7.13%).

2016 Avg (December) 1332.9128
2015 Avg (December) 1244.2209

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1288.7847 1250.8046 1275.5481
February 1287.4519 1241.9981 1269.0982
March 1250.1635 1236.5125 1244.4624
April 1247.8952 1223.8558 1236.5467
May 1252.6612 1227.0226 1237.2152
June 1262.5304 1237.5617 1244.9634
July 1258.1913 1245.0870 1250.7701
August 1252.6275 1245.8479 1249.3292
September 1254.6986 1248.4025 1252.6527
October 1282.5563 1251.8124 1270.4963
November 1343.3876 1283.3405 1318.7618
December 1345.4019 1314.6103 1332.9128