YEARLY HIGH
1450.5990 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1348.4791 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1375.2993 UGX

2020 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 1450.5990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1348.4791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 102.1199 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1361.1153 to the December average rate of 1356.2046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1450.5990 was up 3.68% compared to the 2019 peak of 1399.0950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,252,995 UGX
2019 Average 6,853,750 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,742,395 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 510,599.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1407.0311
1351.5840
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1383.2855, compared to 1367.3131 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 15.9725 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1383.2855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1367.3131

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 81.2686 UGX (High: 1450.5990 / Low: 1369.3304). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.1515 UGX (High: 1407.0660 / Low: 1396.9145).

March Spread (Volatile) ±81.2686
May Spread (Stable) ±10.1515

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 19.7147 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.7147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 1393.6588) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1370.9458), the exchange rate shifted by +22.7130 (+1.66%).

2020 Avg (March) 1393.6588
2019 Avg (March) 1370.9458

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1373.3253 1355.4318 1361.1153
February 1372.7613 1355.9034 1360.5336
March 1450.5990 1369.3304 1393.6588
April 1408.5652 1388.5038 1399.2992
May 1407.0660 1396.9145 1402.4105
June 1398.5419 1376.6917 1382.6959
July 1379.3132 1363.6794 1370.4071
August 1367.4409 1354.0621 1360.5388
September 1375.6947 1360.7848 1367.8966
October 1384.6373 1365.9700 1375.8331
November 1384.0518 1365.3956 1372.9981
December 1369.3975 1348.4791 1356.2046