YEARLY HIGH
1375.9351 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1301.4853 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1327.3020 UGX

2021 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1375.9351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 1301.4853.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.4497 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1365.8163 to the December average rate of 1315.4818, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1375.9351 was down 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 1450.5990, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,879,675 UGX
2020 Average 6,876,604 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,507,427 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 372,248.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1371.7915
1300.0890
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1340.6983, compared to 1313.9058 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 26.7925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1340.6983
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1313.9058

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 33.3349 UGX (High: 1342.8892 / Low: 1309.5542). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.4982 UGX (High: 1357.4759 / Low: 1351.9776).

October Spread (Volatile) ±33.3349
March Spread (Stable) ±5.4982

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 27.1966 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.1966

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1365.8163) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1361.1153), the exchange rate shifted by +4.7010 (+0.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 1365.8163
2020 Avg (January) 1361.1153

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1375.9351 1352.5235 1365.8163
February 1361.2085 1354.2580 1356.8662
March 1357.4759 1351.9776 1354.9237
April 1355.5591 1323.1565 1341.8755
May 1330.1730 1306.2551 1314.6789
June 1316.0998 1301.4853 1310.0290
July 1319.1065 1309.2496 1313.9087
August 1314.5865 1306.1737 1309.0841
September 1317.3273 1302.1209 1306.0642
October 1342.8892 1309.5542 1323.6991
November 1324.6759 1305.5392 1315.1969
December 1324.5737 1309.6489 1315.4818