2014 TJS to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0371 MDL

YEARLY LOW

2.7160 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8409 MDL

2014 TJS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TJS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 3.0371. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 2.7160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3211 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7598 to the December average rate of 2.9961, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.0371 was up 9.88% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.7640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,186 MDL

2013 Average 13,158 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 13,580 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,605.55 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.0198

2.7362

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7894, compared to 2.8923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7894

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.0984 MDL (High: 2.8176 / Low: 2.7192). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0389 MDL (High: 2.8462 / Low: 2.8072).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0984

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0389

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0450 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0450

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 2.9961) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.7098), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2863 (+10.57%).

2014 Avg (December) 2.9961

2013 Avg (December) 2.7098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.8044	2.7160	2.7598
February	2.8414	2.7964	2.8116
March	2.8410	2.7596	2.7971
April	2.8013	2.7432	2.7708
May	2.8176	2.7192	2.7678
June	2.8462	2.8072	2.8295
July	2.8413	2.7942	2.8232
August	2.8175	2.7436	2.7782
September	2.9099	2.8229	2.8698
October	2.9620	2.9075	2.9335
November	2.9723	2.9302	2.9528
December	3.0371	2.9496	2.9961