YEARLY HIGH
2.8344 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.4791 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5413 MDL

2016 TJS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 2.8344. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 2.4791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3552 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7551 to the December average rate of 2.5551, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.8344 was down 19.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.5023, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,172 MDL
2015 Average 15,292 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 12,396 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,776.22 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.7811
2.4699
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5576, compared to 2.5249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0327 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5576
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2233 MDL (High: 2.8344 / Low: 2.6110). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0136 MDL (High: 2.5149 / Low: 2.5013).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2233
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0136

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2003 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.7551) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.1533), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3981 (-12.63%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.7551
2015 Avg (January) 3.1533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8344 2.6110 2.7551
February 2.5900 2.5340 2.5548
March 2.5459 2.4828 2.5114
April 2.5080 2.4791 2.4958
May 2.5439 2.4978 2.5163
June 2.5292 2.4952 2.5123
July 2.5235 2.4977 2.5128
August 2.5149 2.5013 2.5060
September 2.5176 2.4973 2.5068
October 2.5463 2.5016 2.5227
November 2.5705 2.5124 2.5461
December 2.5765 2.5176 2.5551