YEARLY HIGH
1.9441 MDL
YEARLY LOW
1.7520 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.8380 MDL

2018 TJS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.9441. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 9, dropping to 1.7520.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1921 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9218 to the December average rate of 1.8226, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.9441 was down 24.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.5619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,721 MDL
2017 Average 10,771 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 8,760 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 960.74 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.9373
1.7510
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8773, compared to 1.7987 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0786 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8773
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7987

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0841 MDL (High: 1.8435 / Low: 1.7594). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0253 MDL (High: 1.8718 / Low: 1.8465).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0841
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0253

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0603 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0603

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.9218) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.5391), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6173 (-24.31%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.9218
2017 Avg (January) 2.5391

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9441 1.8918 1.9218
February 1.9095 1.8748 1.8899
March 1.8947 1.8645 1.8785
April 1.8718 1.8465 1.8576
May 1.8888 1.8414 1.8585
June 1.8856 1.8422 1.8574
July 1.8435 1.7594 1.7971
August 1.7854 1.7520 1.7665
September 1.7942 1.7679 1.7834
October 1.8257 1.7909 1.8058
November 1.8309 1.8030 1.8168
December 1.8356 1.7973 1.8226