YEARLY HIGH
10.9784 RUB
YEARLY LOW
7.6632 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.5697 RUB

2016 TJS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 10.9784. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 7.6632.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3152 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3733 to the December average rate of 7.8783, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.9784 was down 15.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.0003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,892 RUB
2015 Average 50,030 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 38,316 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,576.09 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.6228
7.6288
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0311, compared to 8.1082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0311
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.3350 RUB (High: 10.9784 / Low: 9.6434). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1368 RUB (High: 8.0238 / Low: 7.8870).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.3350
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1368

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.9467 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9467

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 10.3733) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.1333), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7600 (-14.51%).

2016 Avg (January) 10.3733
2015 Avg (January) 12.1333

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.9784 9.6434 10.3733
February 10.1653 9.5742 9.8265
March 9.3746 8.5354 8.8798
April 8.7069 8.2398 8.4612
May 8.5155 8.2436 8.3771
June 8.5036 8.0955 8.2684
July 8.4592 7.9944 8.1793
August 8.4924 8.1009 8.2462
September 8.3605 7.9958 8.1921
October 8.0238 7.8870 7.9558
November 8.3686 8.0381 8.1978
December 8.1377 7.6632 7.8783