YEARLY HIGH
9.2354 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.4705 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.8970 RUB

2023 TJS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TJS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 9.2354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 6.4705.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7649 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8384 to the December average rate of 8.3243, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 9.2354 was down 27.08% compared to the 2022 peak of 12.6652, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,177 RUB
2022 Average 31,727 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 32,352 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,824.55 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

9.0502
6.6373
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2453, compared to 8.5488 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2453
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.5488

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.8114 RUB (High: 7.5915 / Low: 6.7800). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3387 RUB (High: 8.9715 / Low: 8.6329).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.8114
September Spread (Stable) ±0.3387

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5632 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5632

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 8.8491) against the same month in 2022 (average: 6.1413), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7078 (+44.09%).

2023 Avg (October) 8.8491
2022 Avg (October) 6.1413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2283 6.4705 6.8384
February 7.5915 6.7800 7.0783
March 7.6105 6.8644 7.2424
April 7.5132 7.1014 7.4260
May 7.4494 6.9640 7.2499
June 8.1262 7.3713 7.6368
July 8.4444 8.0985 8.2927
August 9.1203 8.4320 8.7319
September 8.9715 8.6329 8.8087
October 9.2354 8.5065 8.8491
November 8.5132 8.0748 8.2859
December 8.5243 8.0683 8.3243