YEARLY HIGH
7.4860 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.3073 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8571 RUB

2018 TJS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 7.4860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 6.3073.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1787 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4248 to the December average rate of 7.1747, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.4860 was down 3.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.7710, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,430 RUB
2017 Average 33,988 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 31,536 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,893.73 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.2497
6.3498
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6776, compared to 7.0367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3591 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6776
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.6345 RUB (High: 7.1178 / Low: 6.4833). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1672 RUB (High: 6.5687 / Low: 6.4014).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.6345
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1672

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1802 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1802

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 7.1733) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.5390), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6343 (+9.70%).

2018 Avg (September) 7.1733
2017 Avg (September) 6.5390

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5432 6.3445 6.4248
February 6.6155 6.3073 6.4454
March 6.5687 6.4014 6.4771
April 7.1178 6.4833 6.8626
May 7.1568 6.8087 6.9450
June 7.0107 6.8297 6.9106
July 6.9135 6.6110 6.7588
August 7.2428 6.6841 7.0553
September 7.4860 6.9550 7.1733
October 7.1014 6.8967 6.9931
November 7.2081 6.9619 7.0647
December 7.3870 7.0374 7.1747