2016 TND to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1727.4971 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1507.3705 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1595.5126 UGX

2016 TND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 1727.4971. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 1507.3705.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 220.1266 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1686.5389 to the December average rate of 1558.7489, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1727.4971 was down 9.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 1900.6036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,637,485 UGX

2015 Average 8,251,628 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,536,852 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,100,633.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1711.7494

1510.6247

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1648.8703, compared to 1542.1548 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 106.7155 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1648.8703

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1542.1548

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 86.5365 UGX (High: 1727.4971 / Low: 1640.9606). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.8728 UGX (High: 1539.4518 / Low: 1527.5789).

February Spread (Volatile) ±86.5365

September Spread (Stable) ±11.8728

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 70.0353 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -70.0353

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1694.9890) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1487.0499), the exchange rate shifted by +207.9391 (+13.98%).

2016 Avg (February) 1694.9890

2015 Avg (February) 1487.0499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1710.7177	1654.3299	1686.5389
February	1727.4971	1640.9606	1694.9890
March	1681.4363	1629.9142	1659.9430
April	1681.8298	1632.7702	1660.3664
May	1663.6778	1595.7798	1630.7100
June	1588.3155	1542.2494	1560.6747
July	1551.7667	1507.3705	1527.3851
August	1541.0188	1520.8890	1531.4741
September	1539.4518	1527.5789	1534.3509
October	1541.6615	1523.7785	1534.7031
November	1578.3718	1546.7779	1566.2668
December	1583.1704	1527.1060	1558.7489