2018 TND to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1548.0734 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1237.8285 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1420.6190 UGX

2018 TND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 1548.0734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1237.8285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 310.2449 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1488.6542 to the December average rate of 1262.5805, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1548.0734 was down 3.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 1612.2900, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,740,367 UGX

2017 Average 7,512,646 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,189,143 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,551,224.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1548.7197

1236.5678

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1502.3432, compared to 1338.8947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 163.4486 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1502.3432

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1338.8947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 115.9573 UGX (High: 1489.6859 / Low: 1373.7286). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 31.7461 UGX (High: 1384.7398 / Low: 1352.9937).

July Spread (Volatile) ±115.9573

September Spread (Stable) ±31.7461

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 65.6432 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -65.6432

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 1522.7070) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1541.4082), the exchange rate shifted by -18.7011 (-1.21%).

2018 Avg (April) 1522.7070

2017 Avg (April) 1541.4082

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1521.9782	1453.0089	1488.6542
February	1536.4747	1497.7192	1519.5095
March	1543.9219	1504.9215	1521.1967
April	1548.0734	1490.2226	1522.7070
May	1523.6051	1463.9842	1478.9651
June	1503.7143	1468.7051	1483.0270
July	1489.6859	1373.7286	1424.8780
August	1375.7870	1341.7908	1359.2349
September	1384.7398	1352.9937	1368.2401
October	1360.3592	1306.3811	1330.9011
November	1311.2854	1274.2375	1287.5334
December	1279.8056	1237.8285	1262.5805