YEARLY HIGH
1320.4726 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1196.0161 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1267.0582 UGX

2019 TND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1320.4726. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 1196.0161.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 124.4564 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1250.0519 to the December average rate of 1294.8761, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1320.4726 was down 14.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 1548.0734, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,602,363 UGX
2018 Average 7,099,318 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,980,081 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 622,282.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1310.0585
1211.2544
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1242.3626, compared to 1291.7538 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 49.3912 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1242.3626
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1291.7538

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 53.6581 UGX (High: 1307.7135 / Low: 1254.0555). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.8955 UGX (High: 1309.5584 / Low: 1290.6629).

June Spread (Volatile) ±53.6581
November Spread (Stable) ±18.8955

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 30.5638 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -30.5638

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1294.8761) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1262.5805), the exchange rate shifted by +32.2956 (+2.56%).

2019 Avg (December) 1294.8761
2018 Avg (December) 1262.5805

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1263.9461 1211.1048 1250.0519
February 1239.7171 1196.0161 1219.4881
March 1231.2372 1209.8765 1222.7925
April 1247.8662 1226.9814 1238.6964
May 1265.9410 1240.3395 1253.7664
June 1307.7135 1254.0555 1269.3805
July 1295.2561 1273.3203 1284.3087
August 1299.9505 1267.2733 1287.9006
September 1295.2909 1270.0208 1282.9743
October 1314.5835 1280.6101 1301.8248
November 1309.5584 1290.6629 1298.6383
December 1320.4726 1287.7613 1294.8761