2012 TOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

50.1378 KES

YEARLY LOW

46.4776 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

48.6183 KES

2012 TOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the TOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 50.1378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 12, dropping to 46.4776.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6602 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 49.4484 to the December average rate of 49.4136, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 50.1378 was down 17.65% compared to the 2011 peak of 60.8855, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 250,689 KES

2011 Average 253,813 KES

Yearly Trough Low 232,388 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,300.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

49.6584

47.1380

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.6502, compared to 48.5863 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0639 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.6502

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.5863

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 2.9490 KES (High: 49.8406 / Low: 46.8916). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6449 KES (High: 49.2273 / Low: 48.5823).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.9490

April Spread (Stable) ±0.6449

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.8391 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8391

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 49.4484) against the same month in 2011 (average: 43.5167), the exchange rate shifted by +5.9317 (+13.63%).

2012 Avg (January) 49.4484

2011 Avg (January) 43.5167

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	50.1378	48.4483	49.4484
February	49.6290	48.5788	49.0778
March	49.6237	48.3775	49.1268
April	49.2273	48.5823	48.8564
May	49.8406	46.8916	48.0173
June	47.9734	46.8277	47.3746
July	48.3530	46.4776	47.3480
August	48.4372	47.5640	48.0211
September	49.6253	47.6277	48.5807
October	49.4501	48.3699	48.8796
November	50.0985	48.1808	49.2750
December	49.6573	48.5849	49.4136