2013 TOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

50.7917 KES

YEARLY LOW

45.9600 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

48.0969 KES

2013 TOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the TOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 50.7917. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 45.9600.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8317 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.1088 to the December average rate of 46.4669, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 50.7917 was up 1.30% compared to the 2012 peak of 50.1378, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 253,958 KES

2012 Average 243,084 KES

Yearly Trough Low 229,800 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,158.29 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

50.9663

46.0579

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.0070, compared to 47.1869 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8201 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.0070

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.1869

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was June, with a trading range of 2.6316 KES (High: 48.9133 / Low: 46.2816). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5663 KES (High: 47.6365 / Low: 47.0702).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.6316

August Spread (Stable) ±0.5663

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.4819 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4819

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 50.1088) against the same month in 2012 (average: 49.4484), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6604 (+1.34%).

2013 Avg (January) 50.1088

2012 Avg (January) 49.4484

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	50.7917	49.5683	50.1088
February	50.7718	49.8476	50.5573
March	49.7420	48.7022	49.0755
April	48.7676	48.0959	48.3731
May	48.8543	47.6957	48.0843
June	48.9133	46.2816	47.8430
July	47.6918	46.1354	47.0787
August	47.6365	47.0702	47.2449
September	48.5068	45.9600	47.5595
October	48.3557	46.7010	47.2744
November	47.9069	46.6085	47.4970
December	46.9436	46.1490	46.4669