YEARLY HIGH
49.8224 KES
YEARLY LOW
46.7397 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
48.4034 KES

2021 TOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 49.8224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 46.7397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0826 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.1887 to the December average rate of 49.4524, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 49.8224 was up 1.89% compared to the 2020 peak of 48.8990, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 249,112 KES
2020 Average 231,379 KES
Yearly Trough Low 233,699 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,413.24 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

49.8216
47.2207
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.9124, compared to 48.8944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9820 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.9124
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.8944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 1.2079 KES (High: 48.2689 / Low: 47.0610). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3282 KES (High: 48.0206 / Low: 47.6924).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.2079
July Spread (Stable) ±0.3282

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6678 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6678

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 49.6048) against the same month in 2020 (average: 47.5147), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0901 (+4.40%).

2021 Avg (November) 49.6048
2020 Avg (November) 47.5147

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 48.4835 47.9057 48.1887
February 48.3137 47.5529 47.7779
March 48.5660 47.7116 48.1052
April 47.9299 46.7397 47.4374
May 48.2689 47.0610 47.7228
June 48.5945 47.7793 48.2422
July 48.0206 47.6924 47.9007
August 48.5948 47.9548 48.2845
September 49.1508 48.5465 48.9111
October 49.8217 48.6677 49.2128
November 49.8224 49.2214 49.6048
December 49.7436 49.2044 49.4524