YEARLY HIGH
163.7773 NGN
YEARLY LOW
154.1860 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
159.0226 NGN

2018 TOP to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 163.7773. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 3, dropping to 154.1860.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.5914 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 160.2798 to the December average rate of 159.8570, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 163.7773 was down 2.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 168.1809, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 818,887 NGN
2017 Average 737,149 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 770,930 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,956.79 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

163.5127
155.0869
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 160.6007, compared to 157.4444 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.1563 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 160.6007
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 157.4444

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 5.8677 NGN (High: 162.4816 / Low: 156.6138). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7572 NGN (High: 157.9305 / Low: 157.1733).

May Spread (Volatile) ±5.8677
October Spread (Stable) ±0.7572

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.7740 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7740

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 162.8105) against the same month in 2017 (average: 139.5293), the exchange rate shifted by +23.2812 (+16.69%).

2018 Avg (February) 162.8105
2017 Avg (February) 139.5293

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 162.8921 158.3550 160.2798
February 163.7773 161.5857 162.8105
March 162.7476 160.7089 161.9853
April 162.8788 159.5990 161.8202
May 162.4816 156.6138 159.0462
June 158.9707 156.1118 157.6624
July 156.6159 154.1860 155.7891
August 156.9673 155.8005 156.2517
September 157.5131 155.5740 156.7093
October 157.9305 157.1733 157.6267
November 159.0979 157.4177 158.4328
December 161.5611 158.6035 159.8570