2014 TRY to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

86.5658 DJF

YEARLY LOW

75.8343 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

81.6589 DJF

2014 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 13, valuing the pair at 86.5658. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 75.8343.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.7314 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.2612 to the December average rate of 77.7332, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 86.5658 was down 14.80% compared to the 2013 peak of 101.6039, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,328,288 DJF

2013 Average 4,671,137 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 3,791,717 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 536,570.80 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

86.2789

76.9563

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 82.5368, compared to 80.7811 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7557 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 82.5368

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 80.7811

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 6.6682 DJF (High: 83.0044 / Low: 76.3361). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7298 DJF (High: 84.9479 / Low: 83.2181).

January Spread (Volatile) ±6.6682

April Spread (Stable) ±1.7298

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.2178 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2178

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 85.5021) against the same month in 2013 (average: 97.2906), the exchange rate shifted by -11.7886 (-12.12%).

2014 Avg (May) 85.5021

2013 Avg (May) 97.2906

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	83.0044	76.3361	80.2612
February	81.8639	78.0560	80.6128
March	83.1054	79.3787	80.4373
April	84.9479	83.2181	84.0211
May	86.5658	84.5832	85.5021
June	86.1885	83.4008	84.3863
July	85.6193	83.6021	84.3500
August	84.1092	81.8248	82.8246
September	82.9029	78.2816	80.6906
October	81.1342	77.7749	79.1374
November	80.8499	78.8011	79.9509
December	80.4423	75.8343	77.7332