YEARLY HIGH
25.6068 DJF
YEARLY LOW
10.7402 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.6440 DJF

2021 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 20, valuing the pair at 25.6068. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 10.7402.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.8666 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.0766 to the December average rate of 13.4019, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 25.6068 was down 15.76% compared to the 2020 peak of 30.3957, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,280,338 DJF
2020 Average 1,279,411 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 537,008 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 743,330.17 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

26.2378
12.2350
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.6504, compared to 18.6377 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.0127 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.6504
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.6377

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 5.9051 DJF (High: 16.6453 / Low: 10.7402). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6319 DJF (High: 21.0527 / Low: 20.4208).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.9051
July Spread (Stable) ±0.6319

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.2573 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2573

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 25.0709) against the same month in 2020 (average: 29.3507), the exchange rate shifted by -4.2798 (-14.58%).

2021 Avg (February) 25.0709
2020 Avg (February) 29.3507

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.4276 23.7829 24.0766
February 25.6068 23.9682 25.0709
March 24.6504 21.3716 23.1694
April 22.1524 21.0842 21.7502
May 21.6126 20.7488 21.2200
June 21.2367 20.2717 20.6152
July 21.0527 20.4208 20.7044
August 21.3830 20.5681 20.9989
September 21.4893 19.9501 20.7807
October 20.1102 18.3007 19.2811
November 18.6458 13.1813 16.6592
December 16.6453 10.7402 13.4019