YEARLY HIGH
9.5456 DJF
YEARLY LOW
6.0329 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7155 DJF

2023 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 9.5456. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.0329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5127 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.4643 to the December average rate of 6.1203, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 9.5456 was down 29.87% compared to the 2022 peak of 13.6110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 477,282 DJF
2022 Average 544,786 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 301,646 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 175,636.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

9.7987
5.7859
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.9961, compared to 6.4349 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.5612 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.9961
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4349

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.7138 DJF (High: 8.5266 / Low: 6.8128). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0747 DJF (High: 9.5104 / Low: 9.4358).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.7138
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.4575 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4575

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 9.4425) against the same month in 2022 (average: 13.0402), the exchange rate shifted by -3.5976 (-27.59%).

2023 Avg (February) 9.4425
2022 Avg (February) 13.0402

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.5104 9.4358 9.4643
February 9.5456 9.3717 9.4425
March 9.4467 9.2297 9.3500
April 9.2724 9.0337 9.1833
May 9.1396 8.5683 8.9970
June 8.5266 6.8128 7.5395
July 6.8714 6.5788 6.7125
August 6.8724 6.5331 6.6102
September 6.6601 6.4873 6.5908
October 6.4917 6.2868 6.3779
November 6.2857 6.1446 6.1977
December 6.1879 6.0329 6.1203