YEARLY HIGH
2.1612 MOP
YEARLY LOW
1.1633 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7218 MOP

2018 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 2.1612. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 1.1633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9980 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1353 to the December average rate of 1.5175, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.1612 was down 8.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3690, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 108,062 MOP
2017 Average 110,180 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 58,164 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,897.81 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.2209
1.1942
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9839, compared to 1.4598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5241 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9839
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.4591 MOP (High: 1.6224 / Low: 1.1633). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0497 MOP (High: 2.1612 / Low: 2.1115).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4591
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0497

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3219 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3219

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.1353) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1360), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0007 (-0.03%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.1353
2017 Avg (January) 2.1360

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1612 2.1115 2.1353
February 2.1564 2.1053 2.1289
March 2.1244 2.0138 2.0747
April 2.0423 1.9519 1.9899
May 1.9726 1.6991 1.8282
June 1.8080 1.7031 1.7465
July 1.7684 1.6427 1.6947
August 1.6224 1.1633 1.3728
September 1.3407 1.2142 1.2797
October 1.4763 1.3046 1.3899
November 1.5580 1.4608 1.5039
December 1.5577 1.4919 1.5175