YEARLY HIGH
1.3667 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.9363 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1487 MOP

2020 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1.3667. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 7, dropping to 0.9363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4303 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3514 to the December average rate of 1.0371, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.3667 was down 12.70% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.5655, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,333 MOP
2019 Average 71,102 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 46,817 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,516.18 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.3861
0.9693
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2369, compared to 1.0604 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1765 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2369
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0604

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 0.1221 MOP (High: 1.0585 / Low: 0.9363). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0250 MOP (High: 1.1690 / Low: 1.1441).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1221
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0951 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0951

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 1.3514) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.5073), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1559 (-10.34%).

2020 Avg (January) 1.3514
2019 Avg (January) 1.5073

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3667 1.3374 1.3514
February 1.3382 1.2854 1.3202
March 1.3166 1.2092 1.2605
April 1.2087 1.1421 1.1654
May 1.1854 1.1087 1.1531
June 1.1910 1.1638 1.1709
July 1.1690 1.1441 1.1619
August 1.1519 1.0786 1.0973
September 1.0826 1.0202 1.0578
October 1.0288 0.9566 1.0045
November 1.0585 0.9363 1.0041
December 1.0818 1.0123 1.0371