2019 TRY to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5655 MOP

YEARLY LOW

1.3121 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4227 MOP

2019 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 1.5655. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 1.3121.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2535 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5073 to the December average rate of 1.3722, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.5655 was down 27.56% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.1612, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 78,277 MOP

2018 Average 85,975 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 65,603 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,674.52 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.5523

1.3193

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4399, compared to 1.4055 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0345 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4399

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4055

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 0.1112 MOP (High: 1.4658 / Low: 1.3546). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 MOP (High: 1.4148 / Low: 1.3953).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1112

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0745 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0745

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.5073) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.1353), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6280 (-29.41%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.5073

2018 Avg (January) 2.1353

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5655	1.4614	1.5073
February	1.5555	1.5131	1.5329
March	1.5067	1.3998	1.4744
April	1.4658	1.3546	1.3999
May	1.3837	1.3121	1.3387
June	1.4145	1.3675	1.3864
July	1.4493	1.3977	1.4192
August	1.4728	1.3630	1.4294
September	1.4321	1.3837	1.4133
October	1.4204	1.3628	1.3942
November	1.4148	1.3953	1.4045
December	1.4045	1.3478	1.3722