YEARLY HIGH
1.6665 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.5030 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5640 UGX

2016 TZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.6665. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 1.5030.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1635 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5790 to the December average rate of 1.6537, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6665 was down 2.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7122, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,333 UGX
2015 Average 7,949 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,515 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 817.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6665
1.5126
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5455, compared to 1.5826 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0370 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5455
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5826

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0789 UGX (High: 1.6662 / Low: 1.5873). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 UGX (High: 1.5465 / Low: 1.5407).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0789
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0299 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.6537) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5634), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0903 (+5.77%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.6537
2015 Avg (December) 1.5634

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5993 1.5566 1.5790
February 1.5946 1.5291 1.5680
March 1.5440 1.5269 1.5381
April 1.5417 1.5030 1.5254
May 1.5460 1.5141 1.5270
June 1.5580 1.5250 1.5357
July 1.5508 1.5362 1.5434
August 1.5465 1.5407 1.5426
September 1.5540 1.5442 1.5498
October 1.5867 1.5525 1.5727
November 1.6662 1.5873 1.6332
December 1.6665 1.6332 1.6537