YEARLY HIGH
1.7176 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.5988 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6366 UGX

2018 TZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1.7176. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.5988.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1188 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6199 to the December average rate of 1.6131, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7176 was up 2.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6678, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,588 UGX
2017 Average 8,082 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,994 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 594.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6911
1.6060
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6332, compared to 1.6400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0068 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6332
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0964 UGX (High: 1.7119 / Low: 1.6155). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0177 UGX (High: 1.6263 / Low: 1.6087).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0964
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0177

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0345 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0345

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1.6840) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6072), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0768 (+4.78%).

2018 Avg (June) 1.6840
2017 Avg (June) 1.6072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6303 1.6071 1.6199
February 1.6263 1.6087 1.6152
March 1.6339 1.6132 1.6200
April 1.6355 1.6147 1.6264
May 1.6541 1.6246 1.6337
June 1.7176 1.6522 1.6840
July 1.7119 1.6155 1.6494
August 1.6497 1.6152 1.6341
September 1.6758 1.6456 1.6646
October 1.6743 1.6394 1.6513
November 1.6407 1.6094 1.6276
December 1.6258 1.5988 1.6131