YEARLY HIGH
1.6020 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.5172 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5498 UGX

2021 TZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 1.6020. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 1.5172.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0848 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5910 to the December average rate of 1.5443, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.6020 was down 5.63% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.6976, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,010 UGX
2020 Average 8,028 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,586 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 423.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.5977
1.5165
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5623, compared to 1.5373 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5623
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5373

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0419 UGX (High: 1.5844 / Low: 1.5425). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0060 UGX (High: 1.5825 / Low: 1.5765).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0419
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0060

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0325 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.5910) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.5967), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0057 (-0.36%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.5910
2020 Avg (January) 1.5967

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6020 1.5765 1.5910
February 1.5865 1.5783 1.5809
March 1.5825 1.5765 1.5793
April 1.5844 1.5425 1.5644
May 1.5507 1.5223 1.5319
June 1.5334 1.5172 1.5266
July 1.5396 1.5268 1.5320
August 1.5321 1.5222 1.5255
September 1.5479 1.5177 1.5233
October 1.5765 1.5354 1.5540
November 1.5565 1.5340 1.5448
December 1.5524 1.5349 1.5443