YEARLY HIGH
0.0774 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.0651 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0692 BAM

2016 UAH to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 0.0774. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 0.0651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0123 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0741 to the December average rate of 0.0707, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0774 was down 30.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1107, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 387 BAM
2015 Average 409 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 326 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 61.34 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0748
0.0658
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0689, compared to 0.0696 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0689
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0696

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0071 BAM (High: 0.0774 / Low: 0.0703). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 BAM (High: 0.0718 / Low: 0.0706).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0071
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0075 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0075

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0741) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1062), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0321 (-30.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0741
2015 Avg (January) 0.1062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0774 0.0703 0.0741
February 0.0703 0.0651 0.0666
March 0.0693 0.0652 0.0670
April 0.0687 0.0657 0.0675
May 0.0700 0.0676 0.0686
June 0.0713 0.0688 0.0698
July 0.0718 0.0706 0.0712
August 0.0711 0.0672 0.0695
September 0.0679 0.0652 0.0665
October 0.0702 0.0672 0.0689
November 0.0723 0.0687 0.0705
December 0.0718 0.0683 0.0707