2016 UAH to MAD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4262 MAD

YEARLY LOW

0.3607 MAD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3839 MAD

2016 UAH to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 0.4262. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 0.3607.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0655 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4076 to the December average rate of 0.3849, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4262 was down 30.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6117, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,131 MAD

2015 Average 2,264 MAD

Yearly Trough Low 1,803 MAD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 327.74 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4115

0.3656

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3833, compared to 0.3845 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3833

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3845

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0394 MAD (High: 0.4262 / Low: 0.3868). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 MAD (High: 0.3975 / Low: 0.3904).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0394

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0382 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0382

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.4076) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5912), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1836 (-31.05%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.4076

2015 Avg (January) 0.5912

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4262	0.3868	0.4076
February	0.3870	0.3607	0.3694
March	0.3854	0.3621	0.3719
April	0.3836	0.3686	0.3778
May	0.3886	0.3789	0.3835
June	0.3949	0.3861	0.3895
July	0.3975	0.3904	0.3950
August	0.3951	0.3738	0.3871
September	0.3778	0.3631	0.3705
October	0.3885	0.3749	0.3819
November	0.3942	0.3824	0.3875
December	0.3924	0.3721	0.3849