YEARLY HIGH
0.3670 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.3160 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3454 MAD

2018 UAH to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 0.3670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 0.3160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0510 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3249 to the December average rate of 0.3438, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3670 was down 4.24% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3832, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,835 MAD
2017 Average 1,825 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 1,580 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 254.96 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3656
0.3212
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3478, compared to 0.3431 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3478
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3431

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0184 MAD (High: 0.3516 / Low: 0.3331). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0045 MAD (High: 0.3359 / Low: 0.3315).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0184
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0139 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0139

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.3619) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3739), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0120 (-3.22%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.3619
2017 Avg (June) 0.3739

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3329 0.3160 0.3249
February 0.3436 0.3275 0.3386
March 0.3542 0.3422 0.3492
April 0.3549 0.3471 0.3521
May 0.3663 0.3543 0.3598
June 0.3670 0.3595 0.3619
July 0.3622 0.3519 0.3586
August 0.3516 0.3331 0.3446
September 0.3359 0.3315 0.3336
October 0.3397 0.3344 0.3376
November 0.3446 0.3349 0.3406
December 0.3491 0.3364 0.3438