YEARLY HIGH
3.3281 RUB
YEARLY LOW
2.2290 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6249 RUB

2016 UAH to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 3.3281. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 2.2290.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0991 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1493 to the December average rate of 2.3616, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.3281 was down 23.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.3486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,640 RUB
2015 Average 14,238 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 11,145 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,495.49 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.2281
2.2828
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7600, compared to 2.4898 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2702 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7600
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4898

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3848 RUB (High: 3.3281 / Low: 2.9433). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0666 RUB (High: 2.6349 / Low: 2.5683).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3848
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0666

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2550 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2550

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.1493) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.0452), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8959 (-22.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.1493
2015 Avg (January) 4.0452

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3281 2.9433 3.1493
February 3.0659 2.7804 2.9184
March 2.7930 2.5571 2.6634
April 2.6349 2.5683 2.6050
May 2.6672 2.5600 2.6136
June 2.6675 2.5571 2.6100
July 2.6823 2.5315 2.5927
August 2.6914 2.4995 2.5813
September 2.5208 2.4038 2.4576
October 2.4827 2.4007 2.4352
November 2.5643 2.4725 2.5104
December 2.5040 2.2290 2.3616