YEARLY HIGH
2.5375 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.9397 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.3093 RUB

2018 UAH to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 2.5375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 1.9397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5977 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9897 to the December average rate of 2.4371, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5375 was up 8.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3466, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,687 RUB
2017 Average 10,968 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 9,699 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,988.60 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.4819
1.9450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2255, compared to 2.3931 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1676 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2255
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3931

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2650 RUB (High: 2.4241 / Low: 2.1591). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0603 RUB (High: 2.4188 / Low: 2.3584).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2650
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0603

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0527 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0527

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 2.4371) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1268), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3103 (+14.59%).

2018 Avg (December) 2.4371
2017 Avg (December) 2.1268

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.0495 1.9397 1.9897
February 2.1582 2.0110 2.0950
March 2.2047 2.1082 2.1722
April 2.4241 2.1591 2.3230
May 2.4369 2.3488 2.3805
June 2.4188 2.3584 2.3924
July 2.4244 2.3184 2.3827
August 2.4934 2.3346 2.4135
September 2.4994 2.3154 2.3976
October 2.3903 2.3023 2.3449
November 2.4358 2.3343 2.3828
December 2.5375 2.3571 2.4371