2016 UGX to COP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0000 COP

YEARLY LOW

0.8269 COP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8935 COP

2016 UGX to COP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to COP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 16, valuing the pair at 1.0000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.8269.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1731 COP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9520 to the December average rate of 0.8363, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0000 was up 0.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9964, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,000 COP

2015 Average 4,238 COP

Yearly Trough Low 4,134 COP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 865.59 COP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9932

0.8220

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to COP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9234, compared to 0.8637 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9234

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8637

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0808 COP (High: 0.9746 / Low: 0.8938). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0256 COP (High: 0.8525 / Low: 0.8269).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0808

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0256

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0492 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.9790) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8431), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1359 (+16.11%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.9790

2015 Avg (February) 0.8431

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9711	0.9375	0.9520
February	1.0000	0.9540	0.9790
March	0.9746	0.8938	0.9298
April	0.9235	0.8628	0.8966
May	0.9156	0.8580	0.8957
June	0.9214	0.8626	0.8872
July	0.9126	0.8613	0.8775
August	0.9161	0.8495	0.8764
September	0.8799	0.8450	0.8638
October	0.8688	0.8417	0.8544
November	0.8827	0.8544	0.8739
December	0.8525	0.8269	0.8363