2018 UGX to COP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8920 COP

YEARLY LOW

0.7320 COP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7935 COP

2018 UGX to COP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to COP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.8920. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 0.7320.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1601 COP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7882 to the December average rate of 0.8678, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8920 was up 3.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8588, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,460 COP

2017 Average 4,080 COP

Yearly Trough Low 3,660 COP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 800.42 COP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8795

0.7394

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to COP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7710, compared to 0.8161 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0451 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7710

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8161

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.0768 COP (High: 0.8536 / Low: 0.7768). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0246 COP (High: 0.7981 / Low: 0.7736).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0768

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0246

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0267 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0267

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.8678) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8240), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0438 (+5.32%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.8678

2017 Avg (December) 0.8240

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8278	0.7746	0.7882
February	0.7981	0.7736	0.7873
March	0.7962	0.7567	0.7778
April	0.7661	0.7320	0.7511
May	0.7815	0.7540	0.7687
June	0.7676	0.7331	0.7527
July	0.7876	0.7433	0.7667
August	0.8126	0.7810	0.7934
September	0.8211	0.7777	0.7984
October	0.8536	0.7768	0.8167
November	0.8740	0.8372	0.8537
December	0.8920	0.8437	0.8678